**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 2, 2026, indicate daytime highs most likely in the 22–25°C range under partly cloudy skies with a 40–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and the Met Office, converge on peaks near 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), consistent with early-September climatology for the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (average highs around 22–23°C). Persistent cloud cover and convective rain—driven by seasonal moisture from the Gulf and typical easterly wave activity—limit solar heating and often suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer days. **Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but uncertain window.** The closely matched probabilities (18°C at 49.4%, 22°C at 46.0%, 23°C at 42.5%, 24°C at 39.5%) capture model disagreement on storm timing and intensity: earlier or heavier convection can shave several degrees off the daily high, while delayed or lighter activity allows readings to reach the mid-20s. Lower outcomes (16°C or below) remain possible only with unusually persistent overcast or stronger-than-expected cooling, while 26°C or higher would require atypically clear, sunny conditions uncommon in the wet season. Upcoming model runs and official observations from Mexican meteorological services will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
9月2日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
24°C 44%
23°C 36%
25°C 23%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
19%
23°C
36%
24°C
37%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
19%
24°C 44%
23°C 36%
25°C 23%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
$145 交易量
3%
17°C
$145 交易量
3%
18°C
$155 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
6%
20°C
$5 交易量
17%
21°C
$16 交易量
17%
22°C
$17 交易量
19%
23°C
$55 交易量
36%
24°C
$49 交易量
37%
25°C
$93 交易量
23%
26°C or higher
$10 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 2, 2026, indicate daytime highs most likely in the 22–25°C range under partly cloudy skies with a 40–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and the Met Office, converge on peaks near 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), consistent with early-September climatology for the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (average highs around 22–23°C). Persistent cloud cover and convective rain—driven by seasonal moisture from the Gulf and typical easterly wave activity—limit solar heating and often suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer days.
**Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but uncertain window.** The closely matched probabilities (18°C at 49.4%, 22°C at 46.0%, 23°C at 42.5%, 24°C at 39.5%) capture model disagreement on storm timing and intensity: earlier or heavier convection can shave several degrees off the daily high, while delayed or lighter activity allows readings to reach the mid-20s. Lower outcomes (16°C or below) remain possible only with unusually persistent overcast or stronger-than-expected cooling, while 26°C or higher would require atypically clear, sunny conditions uncommon in the wet season. Upcoming model runs and official observations from Mexican meteorological services will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$705結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 2, 2026, indicate daytime highs most likely in the 22–25°C range under partly cloudy skies with a 40–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and the Met Office, converge on peaks near 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), consistent with early-September climatology for the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (average highs around 22–23°C). Persistent cloud cover and convective rain—driven by seasonal moisture from the Gulf and typical easterly wave activity—limit solar heating and often suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer days.
**Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but uncertain window.** The closely matched probabilities (18°C at 49.4%, 22°C at 46.0%, 23°C at 42.5%, 24°C at 39.5%) capture model disagreement on storm timing and intensity: earlier or heavier convection can shave several degrees off the daily high, while delayed or lighter activity allows readings to reach the mid-20s. Lower outcomes (16°C or below) remain possible only with unusually persistent overcast or stronger-than-expected cooling, while 26°C or higher would require atypically clear, sunny conditions uncommon in the wet season. Upcoming model runs and official observations from Mexican meteorological services will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$705結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 2, 2026, indicate daytime highs most likely in the 22–25°C range under partly cloudy skies with a 40–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and the Met Office, converge on peaks near 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), consistent with early-September climatology for the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (average highs around 22–23°C). Persistent cloud cover and convective rain—driven by seasonal moisture from the Gulf and typical easterly wave activity—limit solar heating and often suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer days. **Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but uncertain window.** The closely matched probabilities (18°C at 49.4%, 22°C at 46.0%, 23°C at 42.5%, 24°C at 39.5%) capture model disagreement on storm timing and intensity: earlier or heavier convection can shave several degrees off the daily high, while delayed or lighter activity allows readings to reach the mid-20s. Lower outcomes (16°C or below) remain possible only with unusually persistent overcast or stronger-than-expected cooling, while 26°C or higher would require atypically clear, sunny conditions uncommon in the wet season. Upcoming model runs and official observations from Mexican meteorological services will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions