**Forecast models indicate a cold front passage will moderate maximum temperatures in São Paulo on September 2, 2026, producing highs most likely near 19–20°C.** Recent conditions featured elevated readings near 32–33°C on August 31 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, but the approaching frontal boundary is driving a sharp decline, with increased cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and modest precipitation chances limiting diurnal heating. Authoritative short-range guidance (including Brazilian meteorological services and international models) converges on daytime maxima of 19–20°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with lows near 11–13°C. Minor differences in front timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, where 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C together exceed 88% probability while lower outcomes capture residual downside risk from stronger cooling or persistent overcast conditions. Historical early-September averages hover around 23°C, underscoring the anomalous influence of this transient synoptic feature. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月2日聖保羅的最高溫度？
20°C 33%
21°C 30%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
14°C or below
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
33%
21°C
30%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 33%
21°C 30%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
14°C or below
$101 交易量
3%
15°C
$59 交易量
1%
16°C
$80 交易量
5%
17°C
$91 交易量
14%
18°C
$109 交易量
9%
19°C
$178 交易量
19%
20°C
$452 交易量
33%
21°C
$188 交易量
30%
22°C
$167 交易量
12%
23°C
$83 交易量
9%
24°C or higher
$139 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a cold front passage will moderate maximum temperatures in São Paulo on September 2, 2026, producing highs most likely near 19–20°C.** Recent conditions featured elevated readings near 32–33°C on August 31 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, but the approaching frontal boundary is driving a sharp decline, with increased cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and modest precipitation chances limiting diurnal heating.
Authoritative short-range guidance (including Brazilian meteorological services and international models) converges on daytime maxima of 19–20°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with lows near 11–13°C. Minor differences in front timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, where 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C together exceed 88% probability while lower outcomes capture residual downside risk from stronger cooling or persistent overcast conditions. Historical early-September averages hover around 23°C, underscoring the anomalous influence of this transient synoptic feature. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,646結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a cold front passage will moderate maximum temperatures in São Paulo on September 2, 2026, producing highs most likely near 19–20°C.** Recent conditions featured elevated readings near 32–33°C on August 31 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, but the approaching frontal boundary is driving a sharp decline, with increased cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and modest precipitation chances limiting diurnal heating.
Authoritative short-range guidance (including Brazilian meteorological services and international models) converges on daytime maxima of 19–20°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with lows near 11–13°C. Minor differences in front timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, where 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C together exceed 88% probability while lower outcomes capture residual downside risk from stronger cooling or persistent overcast conditions. Historical early-September averages hover around 23°C, underscoring the anomalous influence of this transient synoptic feature. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,646結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a cold front passage will moderate maximum temperatures in São Paulo on September 2, 2026, producing highs most likely near 19–20°C.** Recent conditions featured elevated readings near 32–33°C on August 31 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, but the approaching frontal boundary is driving a sharp decline, with increased cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and modest precipitation chances limiting diurnal heating. Authoritative short-range guidance (including Brazilian meteorological services and international models) converges on daytime maxima of 19–20°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with lows near 11–13°C. Minor differences in front timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, where 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C together exceed 88% probability while lower outcomes capture residual downside risk from stronger cooling or persistent overcast conditions. Historical early-September averages hover around 23°C, underscoring the anomalous influence of this transient synoptic feature. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions