Recent short-term model runs from Environment Canada and major global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C on September 2, driven by warm, moist southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. High humidity and 30–60% chances of showers or embedded thunderstorms during peak heating hours are expected to limit full insolation and cap the daily maximum, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. These conditions follow an unsettled late-August pattern that has kept dew points elevated and reduced daytime radiative warming. Updated afternoon model guidance and any revisions to the National Weather Service or Environment Canada forecasts will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 29–31°C outcomes or remain anchored near 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月2日多倫多氣溫最高？
30°C 26%
29°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
13%
28°C
20%
29°C
25%
30°C
26%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 26%
29°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$2 交易量
3%
26°C
$7 交易量
5%
27°C
$102 交易量
13%
28°C
$11 交易量
20%
29°C
$160 交易量
25%
30°C
$241 交易量
26%
31°C
$58 交易量
8%
32°C
$20 交易量
5%
33°C
$5 交易量
6%
34°C
$26 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$317 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model runs from Environment Canada and major global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C on September 2, driven by warm, moist southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. High humidity and 30–60% chances of showers or embedded thunderstorms during peak heating hours are expected to limit full insolation and cap the daily maximum, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. These conditions follow an unsettled late-August pattern that has kept dew points elevated and reduced daytime radiative warming. Updated afternoon model guidance and any revisions to the National Weather Service or Environment Canada forecasts will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 29–31°C outcomes or remain anchored near 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$950結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model runs from Environment Canada and major global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C on September 2, driven by warm, moist southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. High humidity and 30–60% chances of showers or embedded thunderstorms during peak heating hours are expected to limit full insolation and cap the daily maximum, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. These conditions follow an unsettled late-August pattern that has kept dew points elevated and reduced daytime radiative warming. Updated afternoon model guidance and any revisions to the National Weather Service or Environment Canada forecasts will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 29–31°C outcomes or remain anchored near 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$950結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent short-term model runs from Environment Canada and major global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C on September 2, driven by warm, moist southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. High humidity and 30–60% chances of showers or embedded thunderstorms during peak heating hours are expected to limit full insolation and cap the daily maximum, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. These conditions follow an unsettled late-August pattern that has kept dew points elevated and reduced daytime radiative warming. Updated afternoon model guidance and any revisions to the National Weather Service or Environment Canada forecasts will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 29–31°C outcomes or remain anchored near 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions