Latest numerical weather prediction runs from Environment Canada and global models show high uncertainty for Toronto's August 31 maximum, with ensemble guidance clustering between 22–24 °C due to a weak surface high, modest warm-air advection, and variable cloud cover. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and potential lake-breeze timing create key spread in afternoon peaks, while urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture add local variability. Historical late-August climatology places the 30-year average near 23 °C, aligning with the tight market-implied odds between the top three outcomes. Traders are weighting the most recent 00Z and 12Z model cycles heavily, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations at Pearson Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月31日多倫多氣溫最高？
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 21%
21°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
21%
23°C
34%
24°C
31%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 21%
21°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C或以下
$278 交易量
<1%
18°C
$228 交易量
<1%
19°C
$148 交易量
1%
20°C
$59 交易量
2%
21°C
$722 交易量
8%
22°C
$646 交易量
21%
23°C
$887 交易量
34%
24°C
$1,504 交易量
31%
25°C
$336 交易量
5%
26°C
$188 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$333 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from Environment Canada and global models show high uncertainty for Toronto's August 31 maximum, with ensemble guidance clustering between 22–24 °C due to a weak surface high, modest warm-air advection, and variable cloud cover. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and potential lake-breeze timing create key spread in afternoon peaks, while urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture add local variability. Historical late-August climatology places the 30-year average near 23 °C, aligning with the tight market-implied odds between the top three outcomes. Traders are weighting the most recent 00Z and 12Z model cycles heavily, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations at Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,329結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from Environment Canada and global models show high uncertainty for Toronto's August 31 maximum, with ensemble guidance clustering between 22–24 °C due to a weak surface high, modest warm-air advection, and variable cloud cover. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and potential lake-breeze timing create key spread in afternoon peaks, while urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture add local variability. Historical late-August climatology places the 30-year average near 23 °C, aligning with the tight market-implied odds between the top three outcomes. Traders are weighting the most recent 00Z and 12Z model cycles heavily, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations at Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,329結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction runs from Environment Canada and global models show high uncertainty for Toronto's August 31 maximum, with ensemble guidance clustering between 22–24 °C due to a weak surface high, modest warm-air advection, and variable cloud cover. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and potential lake-breeze timing create key spread in afternoon peaks, while urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture add local variability. Historical late-August climatology places the 30-year average near 23 °C, aligning with the tight market-implied odds between the top three outcomes. Traders are weighting the most recent 00Z and 12Z model cycles heavily, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations at Pearson Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions