Recent numerical weather prediction models show Wuhan transitioning from late-August warmth under northerly flow, with forecast highs for September 1 clustering around 28–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light precipitation. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average daily maxima near 30 °C begin a gradual seasonal decline. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on exact timing of any frontal passage create the tight market distribution among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer details and maximum temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日武漢氣溫最高?
29°C 29%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
26%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 29%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
26%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models show Wuhan transitioning from late-August warmth under northerly flow, with forecast highs for September 1 clustering around 28–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light precipitation. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average daily maxima near 30 °C begin a gradual seasonal decline. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on exact timing of any frontal passage create the tight market distribution among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer details and maximum temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions