Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a regional weather pattern that has tempered late-summer heat. This follows hotter conditions earlier in August, when highs frequently reached 34–37°C under clearer skies and weaker winds. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 32°C and 33°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming limited by humidity, light precipitation chances, and diurnal timing, while the lower odds for 31°C or 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from observational adjustments or brief clearing. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor a slight cooldown relative to peak summer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日武漢氣溫最高？
8月31日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
43%
33°C
33%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
27°C or below
$366 交易量
<1%
28°C
$256 交易量
1%
29°C
$409 交易量
1%
30°C
$292 交易量
4%
31°C
$533 交易量
17%
32°C
$817 交易量
43%
33°C
$1,170 交易量
33%
34°C
$741 交易量
7%
35°C
$349 交易量
1%
36°C
$232 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$362 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a regional weather pattern that has tempered late-summer heat. This follows hotter conditions earlier in August, when highs frequently reached 34–37°C under clearer skies and weaker winds. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 32°C and 33°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming limited by humidity, light precipitation chances, and diurnal timing, while the lower odds for 31°C or 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from observational adjustments or brief clearing. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor a slight cooldown relative to peak summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,527結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a regional weather pattern that has tempered late-summer heat. This follows hotter conditions earlier in August, when highs frequently reached 34–37°C under clearer skies and weaker winds. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 32°C and 33°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming limited by humidity, light precipitation chances, and diurnal timing, while the lower odds for 31°C or 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from observational adjustments or brief clearing. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor a slight cooldown relative to peak summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,527結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a regional weather pattern that has tempered late-summer heat. This follows hotter conditions earlier in August, when highs frequently reached 34–37°C under clearer skies and weaker winds. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 32°C and 33°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming limited by humidity, light precipitation chances, and diurnal timing, while the lower odds for 31°C or 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from observational adjustments or brief clearing. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor a slight cooldown relative to peak summer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions