Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures of 31–33°C in Panama City on August 1, aligning with the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. In this tropical maritime climate, afternoon convection and thundery showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high atmospheric moisture—often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods or stronger insolation can push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet day-to-day variability from steering patterns and localized rainfall remains the key uncertainty. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 19%
34°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 19%
34°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures of 31–33°C in Panama City on August 1, aligning with the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. In this tropical maritime climate, afternoon convection and thundery showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high atmospheric moisture—often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods or stronger insolation can push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet day-to-day variability from steering patterns and localized rainfall remains the key uncertainty. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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