Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 2 point to sunny conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, supported by persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where the long-term average high near downtown or LAX hovers around 77°F. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–79°F range because ensemble consistency shows limited deviation risk absent a shift in steering patterns or stronger offshore flow. Minor upward adjustments in some runs reflect typical diurnal warming potential, while the low odds above 80°F capture the chance of reduced marine influence. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent coastal observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日洛杉磯的最高溫度?
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 4%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F或以上
1%
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 4%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 2 point to sunny conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, supported by persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where the long-term average high near downtown or LAX hovers around 77°F. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–79°F range because ensemble consistency shows limited deviation risk absent a shift in steering patterns or stronger offshore flow. Minor upward adjustments in some runs reflect typical diurnal warming potential, while the low odds above 80°F capture the chance of reduced marine influence. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent coastal observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions