Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Jinan under persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late August, with ensemble guidance pointing to daily highs near or above 30°C and supporting the market-implied 50% odds on a peak of 26°C or higher. Recent observations confirm above-normal temperatures across Shandong, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover, though short-term variability from passing troughs or localized convection introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (each at 2%) low. Official monitoring highlights the region's climatological baseline of 32–35°C August maxima, with any downward revision hinging on updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects this balance between established heat and forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日濟南氣溫最高？
8月25日濟南氣溫最高？
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
21°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
50%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
21°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
16°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$300 交易量
50%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Jinan under persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late August, with ensemble guidance pointing to daily highs near or above 30°C and supporting the market-implied 50% odds on a peak of 26°C or higher. Recent observations confirm above-normal temperatures across Shandong, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover, though short-term variability from passing troughs or localized convection introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (each at 2%) low. Official monitoring highlights the region's climatological baseline of 32–35°C August maxima, with any downward revision hinging on updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects this balance between established heat and forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Jinan under persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late August, with ensemble guidance pointing to daily highs near or above 30°C and supporting the market-implied 50% odds on a peak of 26°C or higher. Recent observations confirm above-normal temperatures across Shandong, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover, though short-term variability from passing troughs or localized convection introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (each at 2%) low. Official monitoring highlights the region's climatological baseline of 32–35°C August maxima, with any downward revision hinging on updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects this balance between established heat and forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Jinan under persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late August, with ensemble guidance pointing to daily highs near or above 30°C and supporting the market-implied 50% odds on a peak of 26°C or higher. Recent observations confirm above-normal temperatures across Shandong, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover, though short-term variability from passing troughs or localized convection introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (each at 2%) low. Official monitoring highlights the region's climatological baseline of 32–35°C August maxima, with any downward revision hinging on updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects this balance between established heat and forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions