Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 25 points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern under persistent high pressure, with afternoon highs likely peaking in the low-to-mid 100s°F amid dew points near 70°F and light southerly winds. The evenly distributed trader odds across 102–109°F bins reflect ensemble spread in short-range runs, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak tropical moisture influx could shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Climatologically, late-August Dallas maxima average near 96°F, but the current ridge has already produced 104–106°F readings earlier in the month, keeping the upper bins competitive until the final model update before peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日達拉斯的最高溫度?
102-103°F 43%
104-105°F 25%
110-111°F 15%
106-107°F 14%
99°F or below
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
43%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
10%
110-111°F
15%
112-113°F
6%
114-115°F
6%
116-117°F
6%
118°F or higher
4%
102-103°F 43%
104-105°F 25%
110-111°F 15%
106-107°F 14%
99°F or below
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
43%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
10%
110-111°F
15%
112-113°F
6%
114-115°F
6%
116-117°F
6%
118°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 25 points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern under persistent high pressure, with afternoon highs likely peaking in the low-to-mid 100s°F amid dew points near 70°F and light southerly winds. The evenly distributed trader odds across 102–109°F bins reflect ensemble spread in short-range runs, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak tropical moisture influx could shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Climatologically, late-August Dallas maxima average near 96°F, but the current ridge has already produced 104–106°F readings earlier in the month, keeping the upper bins competitive until the final model update before peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions