**Trader consensus strongly favors a 70-71°F minimum in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, at 91% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service observations and model guidance from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where recent overnight lows have held near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer. Clear to mostly clear skies and light west-southwest winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average low of 65°F. Recent days show similar mild minima (68-70°F), driven by above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients that suppress typical nocturnal drops. The primary catalyst remains the latest NWS forecast updates confirming 70-71°F as the expected range, with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include a stronger-than-forecast offshore wind event or enhanced clear-sky cooling, though current conditions and short-term guidance make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
70-71°F 91%
66-67°F 21%
68-69°F 9%
63°F or below 1.0%
$1,157 Обс.
$1,157 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
91%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 91%
66-67°F 21%
68-69°F 9%
63°F or below 1.0%
$1,157 Обс.
$1,157 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
63°F or below
$30 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$30 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$5 Обс.
21%
68-69°F
$55 Обс.
9%
70-71°F
$205 Обс.
91%
72-73°F
$20 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$110 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$170 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$147 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$135 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 70-71°F minimum in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, at 91% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service observations and model guidance from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where recent overnight lows have held near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer. Clear to mostly clear skies and light west-southwest winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average low of 65°F. Recent days show similar mild minima (68-70°F), driven by above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients that suppress typical nocturnal drops. The primary catalyst remains the latest NWS forecast updates confirming 70-71°F as the expected range, with minimal model spread.
Realistic challenges include a stronger-than-forecast offshore wind event or enhanced clear-sky cooling, though current conditions and short-term guidance make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,157Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 70-71°F minimum in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, at 91% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service observations and model guidance from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where recent overnight lows have held near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer. Clear to mostly clear skies and light west-southwest winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average low of 65°F. Recent days show similar mild minima (68-70°F), driven by above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients that suppress typical nocturnal drops. The primary catalyst remains the latest NWS forecast updates confirming 70-71°F as the expected range, with minimal model spread.
Realistic challenges include a stronger-than-forecast offshore wind event or enhanced clear-sky cooling, though current conditions and short-term guidance make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,157Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 70-71°F minimum in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, at 91% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service observations and model guidance from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where recent overnight lows have held near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer. Clear to mostly clear skies and light west-southwest winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average low of 65°F. Recent days show similar mild minima (68-70°F), driven by above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients that suppress typical nocturnal drops. The primary catalyst remains the latest NWS forecast updates confirming 70-71°F as the expected range, with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include a stronger-than-forecast offshore wind event or enhanced clear-sky cooling, though current conditions and short-term guidance make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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