Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$15 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
7%
27°C
$32 Обс.
17%
28°C
$21 Обс.
44%
29°C
$0 Обс.
30%
30°C
$10 Обс.
9%
31°C
$15 Обс.
6%
32°C
$0 Обс.
3%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$92Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$92Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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