Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
45%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
45%
19°C
$0 Обс.
20%
20°C
$0 Обс.
10%
21°C
$0 Обс.
9%
22°C
$23 Обс.
8%
23°C
$25 Обс.
3%
24°C
$135 Обс.
2%
25°C
$5 Обс.
2%
26°C
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$70 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$135 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$398Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$398Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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