Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 38.5% and 49.5%. Late-summer conditions featuring moderate solar insolation, light westerly flow, and limited cloud cover support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–23 °C, while local basin effects and any afternoon convection introduce narrow uncertainty ranges that explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 21 °C and 24 °C. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts over the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 23?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 23?
23°C 49%
22°C 39%
24°C 8%
21°C 7%
$47,692 Обс.
$47,692 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
49%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 39%
24°C 8%
21°C 7%
$47,692 Обс.
$47,692 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$6,861 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$426 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$345 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$5,150 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$4,506 Обс.
1%
21°C
$6,823 Обс.
7%
22°C
$7,715 Обс.
39%
23°C
$5,015 Обс.
49%
24°C
$4,223 Обс.
8%
25°C
$4,301 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,327 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 38.5% and 49.5%. Late-summer conditions featuring moderate solar insolation, light westerly flow, and limited cloud cover support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–23 °C, while local basin effects and any afternoon convection introduce narrow uncertainty ranges that explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 21 °C and 24 °C. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts over the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,692Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 38.5% and 49.5%. Late-summer conditions featuring moderate solar insolation, light westerly flow, and limited cloud cover support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–23 °C, while local basin effects and any afternoon convection introduce narrow uncertainty ranges that explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 21 °C and 24 °C. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts over the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47,692Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 38.5% and 49.5%. Late-summer conditions featuring moderate solar insolation, light westerly flow, and limited cloud cover support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–23 °C, while local basin effects and any afternoon convection introduce narrow uncertainty ranges that explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 21 °C and 24 °C. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts over the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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