Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
НОВЕ
$33,137 Обс.
НОВЕ
$33,137 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
НОВЕ
$33,137 Обс.
НОВЕ
$33,137 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$753 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,624 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,718 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$3,828 Обс.
5%
80-81°F
$4,950 Обс.
29%
82-83°F
$8,432 Обс.
51%
84-85°F
$4,060 Обс.
13%
86-87°F
$3,198 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$741 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$195 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$639 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,137Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,137Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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