Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 6.9%
31°C 2.6%
$26,387 Обс.
$26,387 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
41%
29°C
43%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 6.9%
31°C 2.6%
$26,387 Обс.
$26,387 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$455 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,688 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$858 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,045 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$5,156 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$4,781 Обс.
41%
29°C
$4,317 Обс.
43%
30°C
$2,267 Обс.
7%
31°C
$2,126 Обс.
3%
32°C
$2,390 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,305 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,387Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,387Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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