Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical weather models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean will drive Istanbul's August 24 maximum temperature toward 28°C, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability and long-term August climatology of 28–30°C daytime highs. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C in the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus contribute to moderated heat through enhanced humidity and onshore flow, while minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds limit further warming or cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from seasonal baselines, with only a slim chance of brief excursions to 29–30°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders' consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes supported by historical variability and the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns in the past week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 55%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
26°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
55%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
26°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$163 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$78 Обс.
1%
25°C
$231 Обс.
2%
26°C
$168 Обс.
4%
27°C
$834 Обс.
20%
28°C
$1,018 Обс.
55%
29°C
$310 Обс.
20%
30°C
$201 Обс.
4%
31°C
$134 Обс.
2%
32°C
$70 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$684 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical weather models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean will drive Istanbul's August 24 maximum temperature toward 28°C, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability and long-term August climatology of 28–30°C daytime highs. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C in the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus contribute to moderated heat through enhanced humidity and onshore flow, while minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds limit further warming or cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from seasonal baselines, with only a slim chance of brief excursions to 29–30°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders' consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes supported by historical variability and the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,890Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical weather models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean will drive Istanbul's August 24 maximum temperature toward 28°C, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability and long-term August climatology of 28–30°C daytime highs. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C in the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus contribute to moderated heat through enhanced humidity and onshore flow, while minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds limit further warming or cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from seasonal baselines, with only a slim chance of brief excursions to 29–30°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders' consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes supported by historical variability and the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,890Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical weather models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean will drive Istanbul's August 24 maximum temperature toward 28°C, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability and long-term August climatology of 28–30°C daytime highs. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C in the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus contribute to moderated heat through enhanced humidity and onshore flow, while minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds limit further warming or cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from seasonal baselines, with only a slim chance of brief excursions to 29–30°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders' consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes supported by historical variability and the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns in the past week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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