**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 31°C high in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 99.5%, reflecting real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum near that value.** Current conditions feature partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and scattered shower chances that have capped afternoon heating. Temperatures observed midday reached the low 30s Celsius, consistent with model guidance and historical August patterns slightly above the ~30.6°C normal high. The dominant positioning stems from this stable setup under a lingering frontal influence east of the Kanto region. A rapid clearing with stronger insolation could push readings toward 32-33°C, while heavier convective rain would likely keep the maximum at or below 31°C; resolution hinges on the official JMA Tokyo station daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$49,461 Обс.
$49,461 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$49,461 Обс.
$49,461 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,610 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,754 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,661 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$4,796 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$8,376 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$12,126 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$5,176 Обс.
100%
32°C
$5,178 Обс.
1%
33°C
$3,423 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$1,051 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,310 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 31°C high in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 99.5%, reflecting real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum near that value.** Current conditions feature partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and scattered shower chances that have capped afternoon heating. Temperatures observed midday reached the low 30s Celsius, consistent with model guidance and historical August patterns slightly above the ~30.6°C normal high. The dominant positioning stems from this stable setup under a lingering frontal influence east of the Kanto region.
A rapid clearing with stronger insolation could push readings toward 32-33°C, while heavier convective rain would likely keep the maximum at or below 31°C; resolution hinges on the official JMA Tokyo station daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,461Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 31°C high in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 99.5%, reflecting real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum near that value.** Current conditions feature partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and scattered shower chances that have capped afternoon heating. Temperatures observed midday reached the low 30s Celsius, consistent with model guidance and historical August patterns slightly above the ~30.6°C normal high. The dominant positioning stems from this stable setup under a lingering frontal influence east of the Kanto region.
A rapid clearing with stronger insolation could push readings toward 32-33°C, while heavier convective rain would likely keep the maximum at or below 31°C; resolution hinges on the official JMA Tokyo station daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49,461Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 31°C high in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 99.5%, reflecting real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum near that value.** Current conditions feature partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and scattered shower chances that have capped afternoon heating. Temperatures observed midday reached the low 30s Celsius, consistent with model guidance and historical August patterns slightly above the ~30.6°C normal high. The dominant positioning stems from this stable setup under a lingering frontal influence east of the Kanto region. A rapid clearing with stronger insolation could push readings toward 32-33°C, while heavier convective rain would likely keep the maximum at or below 31°C; resolution hinges on the official JMA Tokyo station daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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