Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's peak temperature on August 24 will most likely reach 31–33°C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 70%, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk through peak heating hours, though scattered drizzle could trim the maximum by 1–2°C in some runs. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, and the tight market spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any seabreeze or convective development rather than major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
38%
33°C
29%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$1,424 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$405 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$575 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$215 Обс.
1%
29°C
$512 Обс.
2%
30°C
$371 Обс.
6%
31°C
$1,765 Обс.
14%
32°C
$526 Обс.
38%
33°C
$797 Обс.
29%
34°C
$1,046 Обс.
9%
35°C or higher
$202 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's peak temperature on August 24 will most likely reach 31–33°C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 70%, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk through peak heating hours, though scattered drizzle could trim the maximum by 1–2°C in some runs. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, and the tight market spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any seabreeze or convective development rather than major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,836Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's peak temperature on August 24 will most likely reach 31–33°C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 70%, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk through peak heating hours, though scattered drizzle could trim the maximum by 1–2°C in some runs. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, and the tight market spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any seabreeze or convective development rather than major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,836Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's peak temperature on August 24 will most likely reach 31–33°C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 70%, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk through peak heating hours, though scattered drizzle could trim the maximum by 1–2°C in some runs. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, and the tight market spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any seabreeze or convective development rather than major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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