Recent AEMET forecasts and real-time observations indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 33°C under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance supports this outcome, consistent with typical late-August conditions and historical averages near 31°C, while slight upward revisions in afternoon readings create uncertainty around a potential 34°C peak. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because official station data—likely from Retiro or equivalent AEMET sites—will determine resolution, with minimal steering influences or cloud cover to suppress highs. Upcoming evening updates from monitoring agencies could confirm the exact maximum before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
33°C 53%
34°C 32%
32°C 11%
35°C 2%
$31,559 Обс.
$31,559 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
53%
34°C
32%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
34°C 32%
32°C 11%
35°C 2%
$31,559 Обс.
$31,559 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$1,774 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$413 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,147 Обс.
1%
32°C
$5,940 Обс.
11%
33°C
$4,389 Обс.
53%
34°C
$7,375 Обс.
32%
35°C
$4,144 Обс.
2%
36°C
$4,123 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$663 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$327 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$263 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts and real-time observations indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 33°C under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance supports this outcome, consistent with typical late-August conditions and historical averages near 31°C, while slight upward revisions in afternoon readings create uncertainty around a potential 34°C peak. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because official station data—likely from Retiro or equivalent AEMET sites—will determine resolution, with minimal steering influences or cloud cover to suppress highs. Upcoming evening updates from monitoring agencies could confirm the exact maximum before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,559Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts and real-time observations indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 33°C under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance supports this outcome, consistent with typical late-August conditions and historical averages near 31°C, while slight upward revisions in afternoon readings create uncertainty around a potential 34°C peak. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because official station data—likely from Retiro or equivalent AEMET sites—will determine resolution, with minimal steering influences or cloud cover to suppress highs. Upcoming evening updates from monitoring agencies could confirm the exact maximum before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,559Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AEMET forecasts and real-time observations indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 33°C under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance supports this outcome, consistent with typical late-August conditions and historical averages near 31°C, while slight upward revisions in afternoon readings create uncertainty around a potential 34°C peak. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because official station data—likely from Retiro or equivalent AEMET sites—will determine resolution, with minimal steering influences or cloud cover to suppress highs. Upcoming evening updates from monitoring agencies could confirm the exact maximum before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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