Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F or higher 26%
78-79°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
60%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
26%
69°F or below 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F or higher 26%
78-79°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Обс.
60%
70-71°F
$131 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
21%
80-81°F
$5 Обс.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
19%
86-87°F
$5 Обс.
2%
88°F or higher
$83 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$229Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$229Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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