**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
78-79°F 96%
71°F or below 9%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 5%
$1,722 Обс.
$1,722 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 96%
71°F or below 9%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 5%
$1,722 Обс.
$1,722 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$10 Обс.
9%
72-73°F
$20 Обс.
9%
74-75°F
$3 Обс.
5%
76-77°F
$3 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$213 Обс.
96%
80-81°F
$249 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$100 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$100 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$143 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$638 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$243 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,722Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,722Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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