Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
$15,681 Обс.
$15,681 Обс.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
30%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
$15,681 Обс.
$15,681 Обс.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
30%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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