Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,161 Обс.
$251,161 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,161 Обс.
$251,161 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$1,765 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$802 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,672 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$18,946 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$45,057 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$30,247 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$28,655 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$50,089 Обс.
100%
32°C
$36,913 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$23,046 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$13,968 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$251,161Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$251,161Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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