Persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow off the Pacific are the dominant factors moderating San Francisco’s August 23 high, with National Weather Service guidance and models centering on 70–73°F under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Limited solar insolation from low stratus and suppressed vertical mixing prevent stronger daytime heating, consistent with the city’s summer climatology driven by coastal upwelling and the Pacific high. Trader consensus clusters around 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes because small variations in marine layer depth or afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, while stronger onshore flow would cap it nearer the lower end of that range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$16,439 Обс.
$16,439 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$16,439 Обс.
$16,439 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$1,317 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$328 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,214 Обс.
6%
70-71°F
$3,965 Обс.
10%
72-73°F
$3,099 Обс.
31%
74-75°F
$1,912 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$1,799 Обс.
22%
78-79°F
$886 Обс.
9%
80-81°F
$699 Обс.
5%
82-83°F
$164 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$55 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow off the Pacific are the dominant factors moderating San Francisco’s August 23 high, with National Weather Service guidance and models centering on 70–73°F under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Limited solar insolation from low stratus and suppressed vertical mixing prevent stronger daytime heating, consistent with the city’s summer climatology driven by coastal upwelling and the Pacific high. Trader consensus clusters around 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes because small variations in marine layer depth or afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, while stronger onshore flow would cap it nearer the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,439Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow off the Pacific are the dominant factors moderating San Francisco’s August 23 high, with National Weather Service guidance and models centering on 70–73°F under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Limited solar insolation from low stratus and suppressed vertical mixing prevent stronger daytime heating, consistent with the city’s summer climatology driven by coastal upwelling and the Pacific high. Trader consensus clusters around 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes because small variations in marine layer depth or afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, while stronger onshore flow would cap it nearer the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,439Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow off the Pacific are the dominant factors moderating San Francisco’s August 23 high, with National Weather Service guidance and models centering on 70–73°F under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Limited solar insolation from low stratus and suppressed vertical mixing prevent stronger daytime heating, consistent with the city’s summer climatology driven by coastal upwelling and the Pacific high. Trader consensus clusters around 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes because small variations in marine layer depth or afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, while stronger onshore flow would cap it nearer the lower end of that range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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