Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
58-59°F 88%
52-53°F 31%
54-55°F 24%
50-51°F 5.4%
$1,249 Обс.
$1,249 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
88%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 88%
52-53°F 31%
54-55°F 24%
50-51°F 5.4%
$1,249 Обс.
$1,249 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
$113 Обс.
<1%
50-51°F
$155 Обс.
5%
52-53°F
$5 Обс.
31%
54-55°F
$5 Обс.
24%
56-57°F
$10 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$179 Обс.
88%
60-61°F
$163 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$105 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$145 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$195 Обс.
<1%
68°F or higher
$174 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,249Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,249Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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