NWS forecasts for Chicago on August 23 point to a high near 75°F under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds of 10-15 mph, consistent with the tight clustering of market odds between 74-77°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and a surface high promoting subsidence limit afternoon heating and cloud development, while any late-day lake breeze could cap readings in the mid-70s rather than allowing brief pushes toward 78°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology after the mid-month derecho cleared unstable air, leaving drier, more stable flow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus from NWS against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing, which differentiate the two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 43%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 2%
НОВЕ
$16,153 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,153 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 43%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 2%
НОВЕ
$16,153 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,153 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$826 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$828 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,207 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,413 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,333 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$2,089 Обс.
43%
76-77°F
$2,265 Обс.
52%
78-79°F
$1,972 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$1,055 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$673 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,493 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Chicago on August 23 point to a high near 75°F under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds of 10-15 mph, consistent with the tight clustering of market odds between 74-77°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and a surface high promoting subsidence limit afternoon heating and cloud development, while any late-day lake breeze could cap readings in the mid-70s rather than allowing brief pushes toward 78°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology after the mid-month derecho cleared unstable air, leaving drier, more stable flow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus from NWS against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing, which differentiate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,153Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Chicago on August 23 point to a high near 75°F under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds of 10-15 mph, consistent with the tight clustering of market odds between 74-77°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and a surface high promoting subsidence limit afternoon heating and cloud development, while any late-day lake breeze could cap readings in the mid-70s rather than allowing brief pushes toward 78°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology after the mid-month derecho cleared unstable air, leaving drier, more stable flow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus from NWS against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing, which differentiate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,153Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts for Chicago on August 23 point to a high near 75°F under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds of 10-15 mph, consistent with the tight clustering of market odds between 74-77°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and a surface high promoting subsidence limit afternoon heating and cloud development, while any late-day lake breeze could cap readings in the mid-70s rather than allowing brief pushes toward 78°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology after the mid-month derecho cleared unstable air, leaving drier, more stable flow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus from NWS against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing, which differentiate the two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання