Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 24?
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 42%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
НОВЕ
$18,177 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,177 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
40%
22°C
42%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
НОВЕ
$18,177 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,177 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$375 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$355 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$817 Обс.
2%
20°C
$1,581 Обс.
7%
21°C
$1,842 Обс.
40%
22°C
$5,009 Обс.
42%
23°C
$1,689 Обс.
10%
24°C
$2,771 Обс.
2%
25°C
$2,580 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$438 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$722 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,177Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,177Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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