Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on August 25 under building high pressure, yet trader prices peak at 22°C because short-range ensemble models still show substantial spread from variable cloud cover, Atlantic frontal timing, and urban-station microclimate effects at the official resolution site. Key variables include surface solar radiation modulated by any late-day thickening, boundary-layer mixing depth influenced by light winds, and subtle advection of cooler maritime air that could cap readings one or two degrees below guidance. With the event only two days away, updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing are likely to tighten the distribution around the most probable 23–25°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
22°C 32%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
21°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
16%
22°C
32%
23°C
21%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
21°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$67 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$68 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$335 Обс.
3%
20°C
$431 Обс.
8%
21°C
$358 Обс.
16%
22°C
$234 Обс.
32%
23°C
$1,731 Обс.
21%
24°C
$2,887 Обс.
19%
25°C
$326 Обс.
9%
26°C
$143 Обс.
4%
27°C or higher
$62 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on August 25 under building high pressure, yet trader prices peak at 22°C because short-range ensemble models still show substantial spread from variable cloud cover, Atlantic frontal timing, and urban-station microclimate effects at the official resolution site. Key variables include surface solar radiation modulated by any late-day thickening, boundary-layer mixing depth influenced by light winds, and subtle advection of cooler maritime air that could cap readings one or two degrees below guidance. With the event only two days away, updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing are likely to tighten the distribution around the most probable 23–25°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,642Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on August 25 under building high pressure, yet trader prices peak at 22°C because short-range ensemble models still show substantial spread from variable cloud cover, Atlantic frontal timing, and urban-station microclimate effects at the official resolution site. Key variables include surface solar radiation modulated by any late-day thickening, boundary-layer mixing depth influenced by light winds, and subtle advection of cooler maritime air that could cap readings one or two degrees below guidance. With the event only two days away, updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing are likely to tighten the distribution around the most probable 23–25°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,642Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on August 25 under building high pressure, yet trader prices peak at 22°C because short-range ensemble models still show substantial spread from variable cloud cover, Atlantic frontal timing, and urban-station microclimate effects at the official resolution site. Key variables include surface solar radiation modulated by any late-day thickening, boundary-layer mixing depth influenced by light winds, and subtle advection of cooler maritime air that could cap readings one or two degrees below guidance. With the event only two days away, updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing are likely to tighten the distribution around the most probable 23–25°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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