Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate Austin will reach a high near 105–106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, driving the strong market weighting toward the 106–107°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent high pressure, elevated solar insolation typical of late-August central Texas, and dew points in the mid-60s support rapid daytime warming without significant moisture or storm activity to cap temperatures. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, with heat indices approaching or exceeding 105°F, though slight differences in afternoon mixing or wind could shift the exact peak within the narrow favored range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through midday will provide the final data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 4.3%
102-103°F 3%
$18,888 Обс.
$18,888 Обс.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 4.3%
102-103°F 3%
$18,888 Обс.
$18,888 Обс.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate Austin will reach a high near 105–106°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, driving the strong market weighting toward the 106–107°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent high pressure, elevated solar insolation typical of late-August central Texas, and dew points in the mid-60s support rapid daytime warming without significant moisture or storm activity to cap temperatures. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, with heat indices approaching or exceeding 105°F, though slight differences in afternoon mixing or wind could shift the exact peak within the narrow favored range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through midday will provide the final data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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