Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
12%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$65 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$158 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$122 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$287 Обс.
4%
102-103°F
$631 Обс.
32%
104-105°F
$1,400 Обс.
55%
106-107°F
$221 Обс.
12%
108-109°F
$134 Обс.
3%
110-111°F
$134 Обс.
1%
112-113°F
$109 Обс.
1%
114°F or higher
$122 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,384Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,384Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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