Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
$14,494 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,494 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
44%
28°C
27%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
$14,494 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,494 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$569 Обс.
1%
24°C
$759 Обс.
3%
25°C
$1,596 Обс.
5%
26°C
$2,030 Обс.
14%
27°C
$3,140 Обс.
44%
28°C
$2,242 Обс.
27%
29°C
$1,602 Обс.
8%
30°C
$1,196 Обс.
3%
31°C
$622 Обс.
1%
32°C
$563 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$175 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,494Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,494Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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