Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 24 near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing low-level cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. Daytime highs near 25–27 °C on the 23rd have left residual warmth in the boundary layer, while dew points around 9–11 °C and light winds (4–6 m/s) moderate the overnight drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.9 °C for the date, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and any weak frontal moisture, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these distinctions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
14°C 47%
15°C 31%
13°C 19%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
21%
14°C
37%
15°C
31%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 47%
15°C 31%
13°C 19%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$15 Обс.
4%
12°C
$17 Обс.
4%
13°C
$296 Обс.
21%
14°C
$1,630 Обс.
37%
15°C
$260 Обс.
31%
16°C
$22 Обс.
12%
17°C
$15 Обс.
1%
18°C
$15 Обс.
1%
19°C
$5 Обс.
4%
20°C
$5 Обс.
2%
21°C or higher
$116 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 24 near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing low-level cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. Daytime highs near 25–27 °C on the 23rd have left residual warmth in the boundary layer, while dew points around 9–11 °C and light winds (4–6 m/s) moderate the overnight drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.9 °C for the date, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and any weak frontal moisture, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,395Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 24 near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing low-level cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. Daytime highs near 25–27 °C on the 23rd have left residual warmth in the boundary layer, while dew points around 9–11 °C and light winds (4–6 m/s) moderate the overnight drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.9 °C for the date, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and any weak frontal moisture, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,395Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 24 near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing low-level cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. Daytime highs near 25–27 °C on the 23rd have left residual warmth in the boundary layer, while dew points around 9–11 °C and light winds (4–6 m/s) moderate the overnight drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.9 °C for the date, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and any weak frontal moisture, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these distinctions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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