Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models positions the overnight low in Paris near 12–13°C on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without extreme clear-sky losses. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting on the 12°C (32.5%) and 13°C (52.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical August minimum variability around the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Partly cloudy conditions and light winds further limit downward spikes, keeping probabilities for 11°C or below under 5% combined. Official station readings later today will resolve the market, with any last-model shifts likely to influence final positioning only marginally.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
13°C 99%
11°C 6%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
11°C 6%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models positions the overnight low in Paris near 12–13°C on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without extreme clear-sky losses. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting on the 12°C (32.5%) and 13°C (52.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical August minimum variability around the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Partly cloudy conditions and light winds further limit downward spikes, keeping probabilities for 11°C or below under 5% combined. Official station readings later today will resolve the market, with any last-model shifts likely to influence final positioning only marginally.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання