**Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for a highest temperature of 91°F or below in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models indicate morning low clouds and fog transitioning to mostly sunny conditions, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph limiting afternoon heating along the coast. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late August, when downtown Los Angeles typically sees highs near 84–85°F and coastal stations remain cooler due to the Pacific marine layer. Recent observations from August 21–22 showed maxima of 82–95°F across stations, with no heat-wave signals or model consensus for rapid warming. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern; a breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected offshore winds would be required to push readings into the low-to-mid 90s, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$1,378 Обс.
99%
92-93°F
$873 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$1,393 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,251 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$382 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$972 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$162 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$172 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$176 Обс.
<1%
108-109°F
$891 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$199 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for a highest temperature of 91°F or below in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models indicate morning low clouds and fog transitioning to mostly sunny conditions, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph limiting afternoon heating along the coast. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late August, when downtown Los Angeles typically sees highs near 84–85°F and coastal stations remain cooler due to the Pacific marine layer. Recent observations from August 21–22 showed maxima of 82–95°F across stations, with no heat-wave signals or model consensus for rapid warming. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern; a breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected offshore winds would be required to push readings into the low-to-mid 90s, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,848Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for a highest temperature of 91°F or below in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models indicate morning low clouds and fog transitioning to mostly sunny conditions, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph limiting afternoon heating along the coast. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late August, when downtown Los Angeles typically sees highs near 84–85°F and coastal stations remain cooler due to the Pacific marine layer. Recent observations from August 21–22 showed maxima of 82–95°F across stations, with no heat-wave signals or model consensus for rapid warming. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern; a breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected offshore winds would be required to push readings into the low-to-mid 90s, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,848Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for a highest temperature of 91°F or below in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models indicate morning low clouds and fog transitioning to mostly sunny conditions, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph limiting afternoon heating along the coast. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late August, when downtown Los Angeles typically sees highs near 84–85°F and coastal stations remain cooler due to the Pacific marine layer. Recent observations from August 21–22 showed maxima of 82–95°F across stations, with no heat-wave signals or model consensus for rapid warming. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern; a breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected offshore winds would be required to push readings into the low-to-mid 90s, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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