Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the BBC and European models, indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 17°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 71% implied probability for 17°C or below. Typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Anatolian plateau, combined with daytime highs near 33°C and minimal cloud cover, drives this outcome, consistent with August climatology where average lows range 15–18°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance edging toward 18°C, aligning with the secondary 26.5% probability. No significant synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, though final observations from official Turkish stations will determine the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
17°C or below 92%
18°C 13%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
92%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 92%
18°C 13%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$7 Wol.
92%
18°C
$0 Wol.
13%
19°C
$6 Wol.
3%
20°C
$122 Wol.
1%
21°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$87 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$117 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$132 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$157 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the BBC and European models, indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 17°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 71% implied probability for 17°C or below. Typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Anatolian plateau, combined with daytime highs near 33°C and minimal cloud cover, drives this outcome, consistent with August climatology where average lows range 15–18°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance edging toward 18°C, aligning with the secondary 26.5% probability. No significant synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, though final observations from official Turkish stations will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,081Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the BBC and European models, indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 17°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 71% implied probability for 17°C or below. Typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Anatolian plateau, combined with daytime highs near 33°C and minimal cloud cover, drives this outcome, consistent with August climatology where average lows range 15–18°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance edging toward 18°C, aligning with the secondary 26.5% probability. No significant synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, though final observations from official Turkish stations will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,081Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the BBC and European models, indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 17°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 71% implied probability for 17°C or below. Typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Anatolian plateau, combined with daytime highs near 33°C and minimal cloud cover, drives this outcome, consistent with August climatology where average lows range 15–18°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance edging toward 18°C, aligning with the secondary 26.5% probability. No significant synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, though final observations from official Turkish stations will determine the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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