Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies converge on a high near 107–108°F for Dallas on August 23 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward the 106–107°F bin. Recent days with 106°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in sustained extreme heat without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Heat index values exceeding 110°F reflect elevated dew points, but surface maxima depend primarily on afternoon mixing and wind patterns. Updated model runs through the morning show minimal spread, with any deviation toward 104–105°F or 108–109°F hinging on subtle shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture. Official observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 55%
104-105°F 32%
108-109°F 15%
110-111°F 1.5%
$26,448 Wol.
$26,448 Wol.
101°F or below
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
55%
108-109°F
15%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 55%
104-105°F 32%
108-109°F 15%
110-111°F 1.5%
$26,448 Wol.
$26,448 Wol.
101°F or below
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
55%
108-109°F
15%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies converge on a high near 107–108°F for Dallas on August 23 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward the 106–107°F bin. Recent days with 106°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in sustained extreme heat without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Heat index values exceeding 110°F reflect elevated dew points, but surface maxima depend primarily on afternoon mixing and wind patterns. Updated model runs through the morning show minimal spread, with any deviation toward 104–105°F or 108–109°F hinging on subtle shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture. Official observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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