**Forecast models and official meteorological guidance indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, will reach 31–32 °C at the primary observation station.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h are limiting surface heating in the subtropical late-summer environment, where climatological August highs average near 31 °C. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing from the upper 20s °C toward these levels amid high humidity near 80 %, consistent with regional model consensus. The market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting the 31 °C outcome most heavily given the balance of cloud-induced moderation and residual warmth. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could shift the final recorded maximum within the 31–32 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 82%
32°C 24%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$43,171 Wol.
$43,171 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
82%
32°C
24%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 82%
32°C 24%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$43,171 Wol.
$43,171 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$274 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,613 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,732 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$4,403 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$11,774 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$6,113 Wol.
82%
32°C
$7,621 Wol.
24%
33°C
$4,478 Wol.
1%
34°C
$2,382 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,479 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official meteorological guidance indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, will reach 31–32 °C at the primary observation station.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h are limiting surface heating in the subtropical late-summer environment, where climatological August highs average near 31 °C. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing from the upper 20s °C toward these levels amid high humidity near 80 %, consistent with regional model consensus. The market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting the 31 °C outcome most heavily given the balance of cloud-induced moderation and residual warmth. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could shift the final recorded maximum within the 31–32 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,171Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official meteorological guidance indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, will reach 31–32 °C at the primary observation station.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h are limiting surface heating in the subtropical late-summer environment, where climatological August highs average near 31 °C. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing from the upper 20s °C toward these levels amid high humidity near 80 %, consistent with regional model consensus. The market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting the 31 °C outcome most heavily given the balance of cloud-induced moderation and residual warmth. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could shift the final recorded maximum within the 31–32 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$43,171Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official meteorological guidance indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, will reach 31–32 °C at the primary observation station.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h are limiting surface heating in the subtropical late-summer environment, where climatological August highs average near 31 °C. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing from the upper 20s °C toward these levels amid high humidity near 80 %, consistent with regional model consensus. The market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting the 31 °C outcome most heavily given the balance of cloud-induced moderation and residual warmth. Updated afternoon observations or any unexpected clearing could shift the final recorded maximum within the 31–32 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania