Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicates Moscow's August 25 daytime high will most likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooling trend and possible light precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover around 20–22°C but recent model runs show suppressed maxima due to increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader-implied odds favor these thresholds because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering there, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of any frontal passage could adjust outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
8%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
4%
14°C
$0 Wol.
3%
15°C
$0 Wol.
5%
16°C
$0 Wol.
11%
17°C
$22 Wol.
35%
18°C
$36 Wol.
47%
19°C
$0 Wol.
12%
20°C
$0 Wol.
8%
21°C
$5 Wol.
6%
22°C
$0 Wol.
5%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicates Moscow's August 25 daytime high will most likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooling trend and possible light precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover around 20–22°C but recent model runs show suppressed maxima due to increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader-implied odds favor these thresholds because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering there, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of any frontal passage could adjust outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$68Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicates Moscow's August 25 daytime high will most likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooling trend and possible light precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover around 20–22°C but recent model runs show suppressed maxima due to increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader-implied odds favor these thresholds because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering there, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of any frontal passage could adjust outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicates Moscow's August 25 daytime high will most likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooling trend and possible light precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover around 20–22°C but recent model runs show suppressed maxima due to increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader-implied odds favor these thresholds because short-range ensembles exhibit tight clustering there, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of any frontal passage could adjust outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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