Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 23 project a daytime high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning closely with the 30.5°C daily normal and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects in the region typically elevate perceived temperatures, yet models show limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and light winds, capping upside risk for 32°C or above at under 4% combined. Recent observational data and seasonal baselines reinforce the tight clustering around 30–31°C, with traders weighting official guidance heavily amid low forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
31°C 88%
30°C 7%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
$40,248 Wol.
$40,248 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
88%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 88%
30°C 7%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
$40,248 Wol.
$40,248 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,610 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,754 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,661 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,796 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$8,376 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$6,925 Wol.
7%
31°C
$3,849 Wol.
88%
32°C
$4,545 Wol.
3%
33°C
$3,001 Wol.
1%
34°C
$977 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,730 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 23 project a daytime high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning closely with the 30.5°C daily normal and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects in the region typically elevate perceived temperatures, yet models show limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and light winds, capping upside risk for 32°C or above at under 4% combined. Recent observational data and seasonal baselines reinforce the tight clustering around 30–31°C, with traders weighting official guidance heavily amid low forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,248Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 23 project a daytime high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning closely with the 30.5°C daily normal and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects in the region typically elevate perceived temperatures, yet models show limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and light winds, capping upside risk for 32°C or above at under 4% combined. Recent observational data and seasonal baselines reinforce the tight clustering around 30–31°C, with traders weighting official guidance heavily amid low forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40,248Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 23 project a daytime high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning closely with the 30.5°C daily normal and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects in the region typically elevate perceived temperatures, yet models show limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and light winds, capping upside risk for 32°C or above at under 4% combined. Recent observational data and seasonal baselines reinforce the tight clustering around 30–31°C, with traders weighting official guidance heavily amid low forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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