Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions with southerly to southeasterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting daytime highs near 32–34 °C in Tokyo on August 25, 2026. High humidity and urban heat retention amplify perceived heat, while model consensus on subsidence and minimal cloud cover favors the upper end of the range; slight variations in timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 33–34 °C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs will provide the decisive update before resolution, with historical August maxima rarely exceeding 35 °C under similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C
13%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
30°C
$10 Wol.
7%
31°C
$32 Wol.
5%
32°C
$22 Wol.
13%
33°C
$956 Wol.
24%
34°C
$115 Wol.
33%
35°C
$31 Wol.
14%
36°C
$0 Wol.
5%
37°C
$147 Wol.
3%
38°C
$246 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$17 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions with southerly to southeasterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting daytime highs near 32–34 °C in Tokyo on August 25, 2026. High humidity and urban heat retention amplify perceived heat, while model consensus on subsidence and minimal cloud cover favors the upper end of the range; slight variations in timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 33–34 °C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs will provide the decisive update before resolution, with historical August maxima rarely exceeding 35 °C under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,581Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions with southerly to southeasterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting daytime highs near 32–34 °C in Tokyo on August 25, 2026. High humidity and urban heat retention amplify perceived heat, while model consensus on subsidence and minimal cloud cover favors the upper end of the range; slight variations in timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 33–34 °C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs will provide the decisive update before resolution, with historical August maxima rarely exceeding 35 °C under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,581Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions with southerly to southeasterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting daytime highs near 32–34 °C in Tokyo on August 25, 2026. High humidity and urban heat retention amplify perceived heat, while model consensus on subsidence and minimal cloud cover favors the upper end of the range; slight variations in timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 33–34 °C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs will provide the decisive update before resolution, with historical August maxima rarely exceeding 35 °C under similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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