Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 24 project a Tokyo minimum of 25°C, driving the near-even market split between 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (40%). A persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 24°C, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover will restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the low by 1°C, while historical August baselines average around 23°C. Updated JMA guidance and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
25°C 50%
26°C 40%
24°C 6%
22°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
40%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 40%
24°C 6%
22°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$21 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$140 Wol.
5%
23°C
$507 Wol.
3%
24°C
$69 Wol.
6%
25°C
$426 Wol.
50%
26°C
$246 Wol.
40%
27°C
$149 Wol.
5%
28°C
$90 Wol.
5%
29°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 24 project a Tokyo minimum of 25°C, driving the near-even market split between 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (40%). A persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 24°C, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover will restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the low by 1°C, while historical August baselines average around 23°C. Updated JMA guidance and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,663Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 24 project a Tokyo minimum of 25°C, driving the near-even market split between 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (40%). A persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 24°C, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover will restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the low by 1°C, while historical August baselines average around 23°C. Updated JMA guidance and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,663Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 24 project a Tokyo minimum of 25°C, driving the near-even market split between 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (40%). A persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 24°C, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover will restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the low by 1°C, while historical August baselines average around 23°C. Updated JMA guidance and real-time observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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