Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida, with recent overnight lows near 81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points, anchor trader expectations for Miami’s August 24 minimum in the 78–81°F range. Limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and moisture, combined with typical August steering patterns and sea-breeze influences, keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. National Weather Service guidance and extended models show lows clustered around 80–82°F, with slight day-to-day variability driven by afternoon storm timing and overnight clearing. The tight spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in these factors rather than model divergence, as traders weigh historical August baselines (average low near 78–80°F) against the current above-average heat pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Wol.
4%
70-71°F
$5 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$5 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
33%
80-81°F
$147 Wol.
37%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
13%
84-85°F
$79 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Wol.
2%
88°F or higher
$5 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida, with recent overnight lows near 81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points, anchor trader expectations for Miami’s August 24 minimum in the 78–81°F range. Limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and moisture, combined with typical August steering patterns and sea-breeze influences, keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. National Weather Service guidance and extended models show lows clustered around 80–82°F, with slight day-to-day variability driven by afternoon storm timing and overnight clearing. The tight spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in these factors rather than model divergence, as traders weigh historical August baselines (average low near 78–80°F) against the current above-average heat pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$251Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida, with recent overnight lows near 81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points, anchor trader expectations for Miami’s August 24 minimum in the 78–81°F range. Limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and moisture, combined with typical August steering patterns and sea-breeze influences, keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. National Weather Service guidance and extended models show lows clustered around 80–82°F, with slight day-to-day variability driven by afternoon storm timing and overnight clearing. The tight spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in these factors rather than model divergence, as traders weigh historical August baselines (average low near 78–80°F) against the current above-average heat pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$251Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida, with recent overnight lows near 81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points, anchor trader expectations for Miami’s August 24 minimum in the 78–81°F range. Limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and moisture, combined with typical August steering patterns and sea-breeze influences, keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. National Weather Service guidance and extended models show lows clustered around 80–82°F, with slight day-to-day variability driven by afternoon storm timing and overnight clearing. The tight spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in these factors rather than model divergence, as traders weigh historical August baselines (average low near 78–80°F) against the current above-average heat pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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