Current trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami’s overnight low on August 23, with 78–81°F outcomes holding the largest combined share. Slight divergences among model runs center on projected cloud cover, wind speeds from the Atlantic, and the strength of the sea breeze, all of which influence the rate of nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels. Historical August minimums near 76–80°F at Miami International Airport provide baseline context for the narrow spread. Updated model guidance and official observations later today remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$58 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$217 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$228 Wol.
9%
76-77°F
$35 Wol.
12%
78-79°F
$75 Wol.
35%
80-81°F
$315 Wol.
35%
82-83°F
$230 Wol.
22%
84-85°F
$487 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$45 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$110 Wol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$115 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami’s overnight low on August 23, with 78–81°F outcomes holding the largest combined share. Slight divergences among model runs center on projected cloud cover, wind speeds from the Atlantic, and the strength of the sea breeze, all of which influence the rate of nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels. Historical August minimums near 76–80°F at Miami International Airport provide baseline context for the narrow spread. Updated model guidance and official observations later today remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,915Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami’s overnight low on August 23, with 78–81°F outcomes holding the largest combined share. Slight divergences among model runs center on projected cloud cover, wind speeds from the Atlantic, and the strength of the sea breeze, all of which influence the rate of nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels. Historical August minimums near 76–80°F at Miami International Airport provide baseline context for the narrow spread. Updated model guidance and official observations later today remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,915Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami’s overnight low on August 23, with 78–81°F outcomes holding the largest combined share. Slight divergences among model runs center on projected cloud cover, wind speeds from the Atlantic, and the strength of the sea breeze, all of which influence the rate of nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels. Historical August minimums near 76–80°F at Miami International Airport provide baseline context for the narrow spread. Updated model guidance and official observations later today remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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