Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
31°C 24%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
24%
32°C
24%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 24%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$5 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
5%
30°C
$0 Wol.
15%
31°C
$30 Wol.
24%
32°C
$35 Wol.
24%
33°C
$0 Wol.
12%
34°C
$0 Wol.
16%
35°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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