Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NOWE
$14,666 Wol.
NOWE
$14,666 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NOWE
$14,666 Wol.
NOWE
$14,666 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$412 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$682 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,332 Wol.
4%
29°C
$1,819 Wol.
8%
30°C
$2,993 Wol.
13%
31°C
$3,032 Wol.
30%
32°C
$932 Wol.
27%
33°C
$1,087 Wol.
15%
34°C
$947 Wol.
5%
35°C or higher
$1,045 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,666Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,666Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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