**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 25–27°C in Shenzhen for August 24.** Multiple forecast models show continued cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity (near 85–95%) that limit radiational cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges amid frequent rain. Recent model runs and observational data from the past 24–48 hours indicate the lowest temperature will likely fall between 25°C and 27°C, with slight variations driven by exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. This uncertainty explains the close market-implied odds, as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow historical range for late-August subtropical nights under similar synoptic patterns. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
23°C 47%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
47%
24°C
5%
25°C
29%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
6%
23°C 47%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$802 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Wol.
47%
24°C
$108 Wol.
5%
25°C
$5 Wol.
29%
26°C
$0 Wol.
34%
27°C
$0 Wol.
37%
28°C
$0 Wol.
27%
29°C
$100 Wol.
14%
30°C
$25 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 25–27°C in Shenzhen for August 24.** Multiple forecast models show continued cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity (near 85–95%) that limit radiational cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges amid frequent rain. Recent model runs and observational data from the past 24–48 hours indicate the lowest temperature will likely fall between 25°C and 27°C, with slight variations driven by exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. This uncertainty explains the close market-implied odds, as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow historical range for late-August subtropical nights under similar synoptic patterns. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,339Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 25–27°C in Shenzhen for August 24.** Multiple forecast models show continued cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity (near 85–95%) that limit radiational cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges amid frequent rain. Recent model runs and observational data from the past 24–48 hours indicate the lowest temperature will likely fall between 25°C and 27°C, with slight variations driven by exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. This uncertainty explains the close market-implied odds, as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow historical range for late-August subtropical nights under similar synoptic patterns. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,339Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 25–27°C in Shenzhen for August 24.** Multiple forecast models show continued cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity (near 85–95%) that limit radiational cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges amid frequent rain. Recent model runs and observational data from the past 24–48 hours indicate the lowest temperature will likely fall between 25°C and 27°C, with slight variations driven by exact timing of convective activity and wind shifts. This uncertainty explains the close market-implied odds, as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow historical range for late-August subtropical nights under similar synoptic patterns. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will further refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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