Current northwest winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure system have capped daytime heating in Amsterdam, with official forecasts and real-time observations showing a maximum of 20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with GFS model consensus and matches the day's climatological cooling trend after recent cooler conditions, producing the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily high. Historical August 23 averages near 21.7°C provide context, yet today's steering pattern and limited solar insolation make significant deviation unlikely. A rapid wind shift or unexpected clearing could push readings to 21–22°C, though model runs show low probability for such changes before evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
20°C 98%
21°C 4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,522 Wol.
$50,522 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
98%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98%
21°C 4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,522 Wol.
$50,522 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$128 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$219 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,063 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,957 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$17,719 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$9,157 Wol.
98%
21°C
$8,070 Wol.
4%
22°C
$7,169 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,277 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$510 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$255 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current northwest winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure system have capped daytime heating in Amsterdam, with official forecasts and real-time observations showing a maximum of 20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with GFS model consensus and matches the day's climatological cooling trend after recent cooler conditions, producing the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily high. Historical August 23 averages near 21.7°C provide context, yet today's steering pattern and limited solar insolation make significant deviation unlikely. A rapid wind shift or unexpected clearing could push readings to 21–22°C, though model runs show low probability for such changes before evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$50,522Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current northwest winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure system have capped daytime heating in Amsterdam, with official forecasts and real-time observations showing a maximum of 20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with GFS model consensus and matches the day's climatological cooling trend after recent cooler conditions, producing the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily high. Historical August 23 averages near 21.7°C provide context, yet today's steering pattern and limited solar insolation make significant deviation unlikely. A rapid wind shift or unexpected clearing could push readings to 21–22°C, though model runs show low probability for such changes before evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,522Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current northwest winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure system have capped daytime heating in Amsterdam, with official forecasts and real-time observations showing a maximum of 20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This aligns with GFS model consensus and matches the day's climatological cooling trend after recent cooler conditions, producing the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily high. Historical August 23 averages near 21.7°C provide context, yet today's steering pattern and limited solar insolation make significant deviation unlikely. A rapid wind shift or unexpected clearing could push readings to 21–22°C, though model runs show low probability for such changes before evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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