Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C in Paris on 23 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow at 10–15 km/h. This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological normal of ~24.5 °C, with light winds and limited insolation from variable cloud cover suppressing further warming. The market’s 55 % implied probability on 24 °C and 40 % on 25 °C reflect trader consensus around these model runs, while probabilities below 23 °C or above 26 °C remain negligible absent unexpected clear-sky development or a sharper cool-air advection shift. Updated afternoon observations and any revised model guidance will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 23?
24°C 54%
25°C 40%
23°C 5%
26°C 2.8%
$34,596 Wol.
$34,596 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
54%
25°C
40%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 40%
23°C 5%
26°C 2.8%
$34,596 Wol.
$34,596 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$1,460 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,919 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$4,267 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,259 Wol.
5%
24°C
$5,896 Wol.
54%
25°C
$5,808 Wol.
40%
26°C
$3,875 Wol.
3%
27°C
$1,898 Wol.
1%
28°C
$428 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,519 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$267 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C in Paris on 23 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow at 10–15 km/h. This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological normal of ~24.5 °C, with light winds and limited insolation from variable cloud cover suppressing further warming. The market’s 55 % implied probability on 24 °C and 40 % on 25 °C reflect trader consensus around these model runs, while probabilities below 23 °C or above 26 °C remain negligible absent unexpected clear-sky development or a sharper cool-air advection shift. Updated afternoon observations and any revised model guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,596Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C in Paris on 23 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow at 10–15 km/h. This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological normal of ~24.5 °C, with light winds and limited insolation from variable cloud cover suppressing further warming. The market’s 55 % implied probability on 24 °C and 40 % on 25 °C reflect trader consensus around these model runs, while probabilities below 23 °C or above 26 °C remain negligible absent unexpected clear-sky development or a sharper cool-air advection shift. Updated afternoon observations and any revised model guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,596Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C in Paris on 23 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow at 10–15 km/h. This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological normal of ~24.5 °C, with light winds and limited insolation from variable cloud cover suppressing further warming. The market’s 55 % implied probability on 24 °C and 40 % on 25 °C reflect trader consensus around these model runs, while probabilities below 23 °C or above 26 °C remain negligible absent unexpected clear-sky development or a sharper cool-air advection shift. Updated afternoon observations and any revised model guidance will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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