Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Météo-France point to a daily maximum near 27°C in Paris on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a shift to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth. Variable cloud cover is expected to limit afternoon heating while modest model spreads keep the consensus tightly clustered between 25–28°C, with small timing differences in frontal passages or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (28.0%) implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next official Météo-France bulletin will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$14,375 Wol.
NOWE
$14,375 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
44%
28°C
27%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$14,375 Wol.
NOWE
$14,375 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$535 Wol.
1%
24°C
$759 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,586 Wol.
6%
26°C
$1,980 Wol.
14%
27°C
$3,129 Wol.
44%
28°C
$2,229 Wol.
27%
29°C
$1,602 Wol.
8%
30°C
$1,196 Wol.
2%
31°C
$622 Wol.
1%
32°C
$563 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$175 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Météo-France point to a daily maximum near 27°C in Paris on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a shift to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth. Variable cloud cover is expected to limit afternoon heating while modest model spreads keep the consensus tightly clustered between 25–28°C, with small timing differences in frontal passages or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (28.0%) implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next official Météo-France bulletin will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,375Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Météo-France point to a daily maximum near 27°C in Paris on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a shift to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth. Variable cloud cover is expected to limit afternoon heating while modest model spreads keep the consensus tightly clustered between 25–28°C, with small timing differences in frontal passages or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (28.0%) implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next official Météo-France bulletin will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,375Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Météo-France point to a daily maximum near 27°C in Paris on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a shift to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth. Variable cloud cover is expected to limit afternoon heating while modest model spreads keep the consensus tightly clustered between 25–28°C, with small timing differences in frontal passages or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (28.0%) implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next official Météo-France bulletin will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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